The boxed cascade is a sequenced claim, but the opening cases occupy different roles. Wells Fargo's pressure is an internal quota, so either Moloch collapses into Goodhart or the specimen lacks the rivalrous-selection slot the cascade requires.

Scarcity-Moloch forces coordination and selects out traps; abundance-Moloch reduces selection and permits them. Step 1 of the cascade is absent in the civilizational regime, and post-victory failure is also explained by selectorate capture of surplus rather than maintenance-cost slack.

The Rome/Britain/USA sequence is an obligation-capacity ratchet. Soldier pay and entitlements remain correlated with the locking actor's goal; debasement and entitlement-GDP gaps do not show a measure that ceased to be a good measure.

Section V predicts the same terminal pattern in high-functioning cases, then files institutional competence as delay and fertility collapse as another level. No institutional-layer observation can fail the prediction.

Least privilege already isolates constraints from operational optimization. The load-bearing addition is convergence on three layers, but DNA, Boolean monitors, and constitutions do not share a Protocol type, and the actual requirement is constraint-not-in-objective rather than a floor of three.

Greenblatt 2024 is weaker-model monitoring, not gradient isolation of a Protocol layer. The page's own §VII caveat that monitors may share substrates means the quantitative validation does not distinguish privilege-separation from adding a monitor.

Installing constitutional architecture is a high-coordination joint-move the trap diagnosis says cannot ship. Engineered forcing functions restore scarcity-Moloch rather than install three layers, and Singapore's installer is personnel occupancy of the Head.

Apollo-to-modern-NASA can be mandate replacement by a new principal (jobs, geographic spread, no-failure politics) rather than Goodhart on a persisting explore-space objective. The cascade requires that persistence.